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Salesforce's Beat Hides a Story Worth a Closer Look

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By Tech Icons
6:26 am
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Sydney Salesforce Tower headquarters representing Salesforce AI growth as Agentforce, Data 360, enterprise AI and the Anthropic partnership drive its expanding AI business
Image credits: Sydney Salesforce Tower headquarters as Salesforce AI growth accelerates through Agentforce, Data 360 and an expanding enterprise AI partnership with Anthropic. / Salesforce

A blowout quarter, lifted in part by a stake in Anthropic, revived a growth story investors had all but written off, though the details deserve more scrutiny than the headline invites.

Key Takeaways

  • Salesforce’s earnings beat leaned heavily on a $2.6 billion gain from its Anthropic stake, not core operations, though cash flow growth pointed to real underlying momentum.
  • Agentforce and Data 360 revenue neared $3.9 billion and grew over 210 percent, yet AI products still make up a small fraction of Salesforce’s total revenue base.
  • A new Claudeforce partnership with Anthropic, paired with accelerated acquisitions, shows Salesforce racing to sit inside the AI workflow rather than compete against it.

The Rebuttal Wall Street Wanted

For much of 2026, Salesforce traded less like a software company than a referendum on a fear. Investors had spent the year weighing whether autonomous AI agents would hollow out the enterprise software category Salesforce helped build, a worry that acquired its own shorthand on trading desks: the SaaSpocalypse. Shares closed August 21 down nearly 22 percent for the year, even as revenue kept expanding at a double digit pace. Analysts had begun repositioning ahead of the print, with Citigroup and J.P. Morgan both raising price targets in the two weeks prior. When Salesforce reported fiscal second quarter results on August 26, covering the three months ended July 31, the argument moved decisively back in the company’s favor, at least for one session.

The headline figures explain why. Revenue reached $11.3 billion, up 11 percent both as reported and in constant currency, edging past the roughly $11.32 billion Wall Street had modeled. Subscription and support revenue, the recurring core of the business, climbed 12 percent to $10.8 billion. The number that mattered more to serious readers of the release sat further down the page: current remaining performance obligation, a measure of contracted revenue not yet recognized, rose 14 percent year over year and accelerated on a constant currency basis to 14 percent from 13 percent in the first quarter. Management pointed to this as proof that new bookings are finally outpacing the drag of non-renewals. Total remaining performance obligation reached $66.3 billion, up 11 percent, rounding out a quarter that, on its surface, looked close to flawless.

Reading Past the Headline Number

Profitability produced the day’s most striking figure, and also the one most deserving of scrutiny. Non-GAAP diluted earnings of $5.90 a share beat the Street’s $3.27 estimate by roughly 80 percent, an unusually wide margin even for a company that has now topped consensus for five straight quarters. Net income of $3.53 billion, compared with $1.89 billion a year earlier, owed much of its size to a $2.6 billion gain on Salesforce’s strategic investment portfolio, driven chiefly by the rising value of its stake in Anthropic, held through Salesforce Ventures. That single item accounts for roughly $3 of per share earnings on its own, nearly the entire size of the surprise investors celebrated.

A cleaner picture emerges from cash generation rather than the income statement. Operating cash flow rose 71 percent to $1.3 billion, and free cash flow climbed 81 percent to $1.1 billion, both measures less distorted by mark to market swings in a venture portfolio. GAAP operating margin came in at 20.5 percent, with the non-GAAP figure at 34.1 percent, both consistent with the company’s own targets. Marc Benioff, Salesforce’s chairman and chief executive, described the results plainly: “We just delivered one of our best quarters ever, outperforming across every key metric.” Robin Washington, the company’s president and chief financial and operating officer, pointed to net new annual order value growth running at its strongest pace in four years, the figure she tied directly to management’s promise of a second half revenue reacceleration.

An Agentic Growth Story, Still Small

That promise now rests substantially on Agentforce, Salesforce’s suite of autonomous AI agents, and Data 360, the data platform underneath it. The two increasingly feed what the company calls AIforce, a governance and workflow layer designed to make Salesforce’s data usable by outside models and agents, including Anthropic’s. Combined annual recurring revenue from Agentforce and Data 360 reached almost $3.9 billion, up more than 210 percent year over year. Agentforce revenue alone, a definition recently broadened to include Slackbot and the company’s Headless 360 product, exceeded $1.5 billion, up more than 240 percent.

The operational detail supports the growth claim. Salesforce said its agents and Slack’s AI features had together completed seven billion discrete units of work since launch, with 3.2 billion of those arriving in the second quarter alone, a 97 percent jump from the first. Data 360 ingested 104 trillion records during the quarter, more than four times the prior year’s pace. These growth rates are genuine, but they sit atop a small base. Even at $3.9 billion, combined AI and data revenue remains well under a tenth of Salesforce’s roughly $46 billion annual run rate. The figure worth tracking from here is not the growth percentage but how quickly that base compounds against a company still generating most of its revenue from the products investors were once worried AI would replace.

Salesforce Moves Inside Claude

The evening’s most consequential announcement arrived alongside the earnings release rather than inside it. Salesforce and Anthropic unveiled Claudeforce, an expanded partnership built around a plugin called Salesforce in Claude, which gives sales teams access to 37 prebuilt skills, from deal reviews to meeting preparation to pipeline updates, executed from within Claude itself rather than Salesforce’s own interface. For a company that spent three decades building browser based software, this marks a genuine shift in direction. Rather than pulling AI models into its own platform, Salesforce is pushing its data and workflow logic outward, toward the tools enterprise users increasingly prefer.

Pressed on the disruption narrative during a television interview the same evening, Benioff addressed it directly: “Frontier models depend on CRM. They don’t replace it.” Anthropic’s chief executive, Dario Amodei, described the partnership as bringing Claude’s reasoning into the systems where much of global commerce already operates. The product remains limited to a pilot group of customers for now, with a broader open beta expected in September. Whether this alliance becomes the defining feature of Salesforce’s next growth phase, or simply a hedge against a competitor it cannot outrun, will not be clear for several quarters. What is already clear is that Salesforce chose partnership over rivalry at a moment when doing so carried real strategic weight.

Capital, Contracts and the Test Ahead

Capital allocation added further texture, along with a small but telling shift in timing. Salesforce reiterated that two pending acquisitions, Contentful and Fin, are both now expected to close within the third fiscal quarter, having originally been guided toward the fourth when each deal was announced in June. Contentful’s purchase price was never officially disclosed, though The Information reported a figure between $1.0 billion and $1.5 billion. Fin, a customer service AI agent platform, carries an official price of approximately $3.6 billion in cash. Separately, the quarter captured the start of a three year, $1.6 billion licensing agreement with the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, Salesforce’s second largest federal win of the year behind a $5.6 billion Army contract signed in January. The company also continued executing its $25 billion accelerated share repurchase, financed substantially through debt raised in March, with final settlement due in October.

Guidance moved higher on nearly every line. Salesforce raised full year revenue guidance by $200 million, to a range of $46.1 billion to $46.4 billion, and lifted full year non-GAAP earnings guidance to $16.67 to $16.71 a share, up from $14.06 to $14.12 previously, a jump that again reflects the Anthropic gain already booked rather than a pure operational upgrade. Third quarter guidance called for revenue of $11.42 billion to $11.5 billion and non-GAAP earnings of $3.42 to $3.44 a share, both above prior estimates, while margin guidance held nearly steady at 34.3 percent non-GAAP. Shares surged in after hours trading, with reported gains ranging from roughly 9 percent to as much as 14 percent depending on the moment captured, after a regular session close of $205.62 that had been essentially flat. The rally reopened a debate that some institutional holders had already abandoned, Soros Fund Management disclosed exiting its Salesforce stake entirely during the spring. Salesforce’s investor day, held alongside Dreamforce in San Francisco on September 16, will offer the next real test of whether this quarter marked a genuine turn or simply a well timed rebuttal.

 

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